at that moment: "the total number of UK deaths 759, with 14,543 confirmed cases."
Now: "47,806 confirmed, 4,934 dead."
That they understand that it's going to grow more: "The National Health Service freed up 30,000 beds by discharging patients who were well enough and delaying non-emergency treatment,[342] and acquired use of 20,000 beds in private sector facilities." (wikipedia)
But they still also hope that the current measures will slow down the growth.
They test less than some countries though, but you can see the factor of hospitalizations against the deaths, and note that deaths reflect many days older (and smaller) "cases" count and hospitalizations are somewhere in between.
The time lag is a valid way of deriving this number. In places that do a lot of testing, the number does look lower than 20%. Especially considering most only test those that go to the hospital.
The most recent example Boris Johnson is in hospital since only a day:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2020/apr/06/uk-cor...
News about him being tested positive: 27 March 2020:
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-52060791
at that moment: "the total number of UK deaths 759, with 14,543 confirmed cases."
Now: "47,806 confirmed, 4,934 dead."
That they understand that it's going to grow more: "The National Health Service freed up 30,000 beds by discharging patients who were well enough and delaying non-emergency treatment,[342] and acquired use of 20,000 beds in private sector facilities." (wikipedia)
But they still also hope that the current measures will slow down the growth.
The Nederlands publishes hospitalizations:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_t...
All cases, hospitalized, deaths: 10,866 3,483 771
They test less than some countries though, but you can see the factor of hospitalizations against the deaths, and note that deaths reflect many days older (and smaller) "cases" count and hospitalizations are somewhere in between.