Not op, I’d have to look. Generally though the seeds of a downturn don’t happen then, they happen during the boom times, when everything seems great.

It’s the biggest issue I have with Keynesian school of thought: the answer to get out of a downturn is to gov spend more, but it ignores what happens in the boom times (in which gov also spends more these days). Meanwhile growth, even in good times, has been slowing. Used to be 3-4%/year 30 years ago, more like 1-2% now. And still the calls are for spending more. I don’t know when exactly we’ll stop growing altogether, could be 100 years from now, but with all the gov spending, we sure want to find out!