Paired with "priority support" and "cheaper" repairs for the much more frequent breakdowns

That was the plan to begin with.

Great way to dispense a few billion of taxpayer money in settlements as a favor while everyone's distracted by the story and laughing about how dumb RFK and Trump are.

They're not that dumb. Anything that seems particularly illogical has underlying motives. Look and you'll find more instances of this. Much more.

I think you overestimate some of the people involved.

Isn't this just the "4d chess" argument?

I do think the "DAE TRUMP IS A DUMMY?!?!?!?" narrative has done a lot of harm over the last decade because nobody took his campaign seriously, but RFK is absolutely a moron.

Or, at least, he is very sincere in his convictions about many very dumb things

> RFK is smart

Based on what evidence?

Perhaps they meant in comparison to Trump and the rest of Trump's cabinet?

There is lichen in my garden that would clear that bar.

Fair.

"Stupid" doesn't seem to be the right word to apply to a man who has managed to (annoyingly) command the attention of the entire world and who has gotten himself elected as the most powerful man in the world twice.

I do not like the man. I find his behavior to be corrupt, immoral, and unethical.

And I also do not hesitate for one moment to admit that he is a singular figure in history who has a deep understanding of human beings and how to exploit them. That may not be classic-elite-intellectual-book-smartness, but it is some kind of smartness, and far from stupid.

That was literally my first thought reading the title too.

CIA is not doing it this way; that would be the NSA.

> A website set up by an unknown Dane

Next sentence,

> The website was set up by Joachim, a 30-year-old software engineer living in Aalborg, Denmark

? Is this what journalism has come to? On top of calling this a spam campaign?

Presumably 'unknown' here means 'not famous or well-known', as in "she is a relative unknown".

Joachim is a male name at least where I'm from :)

as in "..."

describes an example sentence. I wasn't referring to Joachim :)

Oh sorry!

> I doubt we will see unused GPU capacity

I'd argue we very certainly will. Companies are gobbling up GPUs like there's no tomorrow, assuming demand will remain stable and continue growing indefinitely. Meanwhile LLM fatigue has started to set in, models are getting smaller and smaller and consumer hardware is getting better and better. There's no way this won't end up with a lot of idle GPUs.

>Meanwhile LLM fatigue has started to set in

Has it?

I think there is this compulsion to think that LLMs are made for senior devs, and if devs are getting wary of LLMs, the experiment is over.

I'm not a programmer, my day job isn't tech, and the only people I know who express discontent with LLMs are a few of programmer friends I have. Which I get, but everyone else is using them gleefully for all manner of stuff. And now I am seeing the very first inklings of completely non-technical people making bespoke applets for themselves.

From OpenAI, programming is ~4% of chatGPTs usage. That's 96% being used for other stuff.

I don't see any realistic or grounded forecast that includes a diminishing demand for compute. We're still at the tip of adoption...

You should get on Reddit, people hate AI with a passion there. People I meet in real life hate it also. I think the public actually hates AI more than it should now.

I spent 13 years chronically on reddit before stumbling into a exit hatch of the bubble chamber.

Those people (well really it's teens and college kids) live on reddit, they are so far from an accurate representation of reality its insane.

Worse when you find out there’s a couple dozen of the same moderators running nearly all the top 500 subreddits.

So they own the media...

That makes some sense. Are they paid for this?

By reddit? No. By the users? No.

But they are paid.

You’d like to substantiate that? I’d love to have someone pull the curtain back and learn by whom, if that’s the case.

Many of them are using their subreddits for submarine promotion. Here's a public example: https://www.reddit.com/r/SeattleWA/comments/547wxd/comment/d...

There's much worse that's "pure speculation", because a few thousand unemployed losers that nonetheless have six figure incomes aren't suspicious at all. See the kerfuffle when the mod of r/antiwork went on Fox News, where several of the other power mods alluded to their true incomes and professions (they know what they are - PR people) when trying to boast about how they'd have done better.

Found on the front page today, an article about exactly this kind of "marketing" https://larslofgren.com/codesmith-reddit-reputation-attack/

I don't know about money, but they definitely get ego strokes.

"i quit reddit but I'm 100% bullish in llms that just distil reddit posts to me"

oh you

Everyone should learn the concept of a Skinner Box. [1]

Reddit is a Skinner Box. HN is too, though to a much lesser extent [2]. Every Skinner Box has one dominant opinion on every matter, which means, by simply using the product, your beliefs on any matter will shift towards the dominant opinion of the platform.

I was a chronically online Reddit user once. I can spot any chronically online Reddit user in just a few minutes in any social event by their mannerisms and the way they talk. I’ll ask and without fail indeed they are a daily Reddit user. It’s even more obvious in writing where you can spot them in just a few always-grammatically-correct text messages flavored with reddit-funny remarks and snarks and jokes.

Same goes for chronic X users. Their signature behavior is talking about social/political issues unprompted. It’s even easier to spot them.

I think the main reason behind platforms shaping user behavior is this: The most upvoted content will always surface to the top, where it will be seen by most users, meaning, its belief-shaping impact is exponential instead of linear. In the same manner unpopular opinions will be pushed to the bottom, and will have exponentially small impact. Some opinions will even be banned or shadowbanned, which means they are beyond the Overton Window of the specific platform.

This way, the platform both nudges you towards the dominant opinion and limits the range of possible opinions you will be exposed to. Over time, this affects your personality and character.

1: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operant_conditioning_chamber

2: The HN moderators and the algorithm both actively resist the effect and try to increase diversification.

The irony of this is so much of Reddit comments these days are AI generated.

It's a pretty biased sample. Not to mention that people who are neutral and is just using AI won't be bothered to comment. So you only ever see one extreme or another.

I had to quit Reddit after a decade of heavy use because of the doomerism. It's a place you go if you want to kill your spirit. It's just not healthy.

The view I have is that people hate having AI slop spewed at them, but will find value in asking an LLM about things they're interested in / help with things.

> From OpenAI, programming is ~4% of chatGPTs usage. That's 96% being used for other stuff.

I think it's important to remember that a good bunch of this is going to be people using it as an artificial friend, which is not really productive. Really that's destructive, because in that time you could be creating a relationship with an actual person instead of a context soon to be deleted.

But on the other hand, some people are using it as an artificial smart friend, asking it questions that they would be embarrassed to ask to other people, and learning. That could be a very good thing, but it's only as good as the people who own and tune the LLMs are. Sadly, they seem to be a bunch of oligarchs who are half sociopaths and half holy warriors.

As for compute, people using it as an artificial friend are either going to have a low price ceiling, or in an even worse case scenario they are not and it's going to be like gambling addiction.

Productive or destructive, demand is there, so it isn’t late bubble. It’s still early. (Which is scary, I’ll readily admit.)

But demand isn't there (or rather, proven to be there.) Demand is measured in dollars, and right now VC is paying. This is peak bubble - farthest distance from valuation and income.

Microsoft and meta are not VCs and they’re spending money on data centers like there’s no tomorrow, doesn’t seem very low demand.

Even if its there, will it be in 10 years?

Test time compute has made consumption highly elastic. More compute = better results. Marginal cost of running these GPUs when they would otherwise be idle is relatively very low. It will be utilized.

> There's no way this won't end up with a lot of idle GPUs.

Nvidia is betting the farm on reinventing GPU compute every 2 years. The GPUs wont end up idle, because they will end up in landfills.

Do I believe that's likely, no, but it is what I believe Nvidia is aiming for.

What’s the lifetime of these things once they’ve been running hot for 2-3 years

This. I just found out that for my MCP needs, Qwen3 4B running local is good enough! So I just stopped using Gemini API.

Your bet is that people will simply use less compute, for the first time in the history of the human race?

No, mostly less external compute

Look at the human body.

2% of it is dedicated to thinking.

My guess is that as a species, we will turn a similar percentage of our environment into thinking matter.

If there are a billion houses on planet earth, 2% of it are 20 million datacenters we still have to build.

An analogy is not proof. It is not even evidence.

> Yeah they fucked Heroku hard

Surprisingly not as much as I'd thought when they took it over. They just never adjusted pricing to remain competitive. The experience is still some of the best you can get for RoR apps. But nobody in their right mind deploying a new application today would look at their insane 10 year old dyno pricing and be like - yup - reasonable

in fact, if you actually look at the historical timeline, many of the things we think of as core to developer experience only were released after salesforce acquisition.

I think even multiple buildpacks at once only came a couple years after acquisition.

Possibly they were in the pipeline before acquisition, sure.

But I'd agree, heroku is still a better DX than almost any competitors, although it's features and pricing have really stagnated. So better DX as long as you don't need any features it doens't have. But it hasn't really been 'ruined' in any way, it just started appearing frozen in amber some years ago.

The new 'fir' platform is promissing, before that I didn't really know that any actual development was taking place in heroku, but it's a big move, modernizing things and setting the stage for more. Including slightly improved resource-to-pricing options. We'll see if it all works out...

AI is absolutely NOT filling any kind of SWE roles, especially not mid tier

Does Peertube not have federation or similar? This will never take off if users have to visit dozens of different instances each specifically for one interest of theirs.

It does. It federates with all the other services like mastodon and pixelfed.

Discovery is still absolutely ass even if you're using it right though

Yup. It's why this, and Mastodon, failed so hard IMHO. It's all on different domains, looks and feels totally different, so the user experience is just terrible.

Well do you want decentralization or not?

IMO This is like people complaining that multiple Linux distros exist.

I thought I did. It worked fantastically well for email and the web, why not this? But it didn't for the reasons I stated (IMHO), and even worse -- even when twitter finally imploded it didn't take over at all.

I think that most people don't want decentralization. Most decentralized systems have bad UX.

The issue is monopolies.

What solution is there, if not monopolies or decentralization?

One solution would be smaller cathedrals. Not everyone wants to go to the bazaar to pick what works for them; but most everyone would benefit if there was a limit to how encompassing a tech company can get.

Network effects are also somehow not working very well for decentralised things, possibly because everyone wants to fork Product X but no one wants to improve it for added discoverability or less bugs.

there are different solutions to different problems.

for example Substack is a good upgrade to social media. It's centralized, but people have to pay their favorite writers. They do this to avoid bs, ads, being a product. The important part of Substack is that if the platform screw the authors over, they have control over their email lists (unlike social media), and they can just move somewhere else.

So a platform like Substack is a move in the right direction vs. something like Twitter.

Well, sometimes it's better to not be able to escape as quickly and actually have to accept and deal with it head on. At least for me personally.

Calling psychedelics and “escape” is debatable. While you do leave reality, the alternative reality you enter is often difficult, uncomfortable, and challenging, at least in my experience.

Psychedelics are an escape in the same way a workout or a long hike is an escape. I see this as different to the escape you get from opioids or alcohol.

Your point still stands that you need to address your problems eventually.