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I think this is way oversimplifying the realestate market.

1. There is a fixed amount of realestate that must be shared by a growing population.

2. Inflation means the cost of everything is increasing. Why wouldn’t that provide significant upward pressure on homes?

3. Local governments spend a lot of effort maintaining high real-estate values. You can’t fight city hall.


> 1. There is a fixed amount of realestate that must be shared by a growing population.

U.S. Population Grew 0.1% in 2021, Slowest Rate Since Founding of the Nation [0]

> 2. Inflation means the cost of everything is increasing

I agree on this one

> 3. Local governments spend a lot of effort maintaining high real-estate values.

Increase in total inventory increases local government overall income and solidifies the need for their own bureaucracy. (i.e. local government would love for their little kingdom to grow to the sky, in my experience... my experience being Morgan Hill, CA)

[0] https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/12/us-population...


All that’s true, but affordability is affordability.

If someone can just afford a $800,000 mortgage payment at 2% they won’t be able to afford $800,000 at 6%.


This comment is too bleak.

If they refinanced in 2020 then they likely bought in 2019 or earlier. If prices fell to 2019 levels it would be a crash —- and probably merit all sorts of government response including lowering interest rates. No one that entered the market before 2020 is “screwed”.

Housing prices even in the markets hit hardest by 2008 recovered in ten years. You aren’t stuck living in your current home forever.

If you bought an investment property then relax, there’s no indicator that rents are going to decrease anytime soon.


If only the younger generations had more political power, there’d be no government intervention in the event of a crash. The older generations that bought houses and then pulled ladders up in order to politically engineer constant wealth growth should be left to deal with it on their own for once. The house of cards is going to completely collapse eventually, so the sooner the better.


The GFC hit during my early 20s. And I remember the zeitgeist of people my age during that time.

Many young people put off home ownership specifically because we watched slightly older friends lose their shirts on their houses. I remember specifically one friend who had to save up to sell their house, not only was he selling for 20% less than he bought for, but he was making $20k in out-of-pocket concessions to the buyers. Popular opinion was that houses were too risky.

Plus, there was the issue of, we all either were laid off recently, or had friends who had been laid off. It's kind of hard to think about long term planning with that hanging over you head.

So when the house of cards collapses, young people won't be the beneficiaries. They will suffer long-term because they lack the experience and context to internalize concepts like business cycles. I remember my mom telling me to use the $8000 first buyer credit from the government to buy the house across the street from her for $78,000. That house is how worth a quarter of a million. But I didn't buy it because I was worried about layoffs or further market collapse.


what year was it when you were 23?

not to mention 1 out of 2 GEN-Z and 1 out of 4 millenials are hodling crypto, the situation is far more bleak than ever before.


08-09

So yeah, just got footing as an adult, then bye bye economy.


haha thought you were talking about 80s and 90s. real estate was considered very risky and nobody were seeing it like stocks as interest rates were double digits. that was the prevailing attitude and why many chose to rent because it was the renter's market as real estate market did not recover post japanese real estate bubble deflationary


you forget that we've had QE since '08 to kick the can down the road to bail out the banks that screwed everything up.

the can cannot be kicked any more.


* 75 percent of the time I leave the website and never return.

* About 25 percent of the time I load the website in sandbox way —- a container or private mode. The website’s intentions are clear and I don’t trust them.


I really enjoy the 49” ultrawide 1000R format Samsung has been pioneering. It’s the size/resolution of two 27” 1440p monitors next to each other, has a buttery smooth refresh rate, and a curve that makes viewing more comfortable and natural.

The new quantum dot displays are also very innovative.


What do you like about the qDots vs "regular" pixels?


Samsung's newest qd displays are qdoled so you get extremely fast response time and very high contrast ratio and the dots give high color saturation so the color volume is very large. Brightness is also high (for an oled).


They are just an improvement on the OLED technology, with reduced burnin risk and brighter pixels being the largest improvement.


That’s because it’s a logical appeal. The argument is: Eating meat causes suffering to the animal. Eating meat is unnecessary for a human life. Eating meat causes unnecessary suffering.


Okay then your "logical appeal" is unconvincing, I disagree that eating meat is uneccessary.


You disagree with every major nutritional and dietetic institute around the world. Google it.


No, provide me the sources if you want to use them as a part of your argument.



In an argument, if you're trying to convince the other person to support your beliefs, you wouldn't use clearly biased sources like you did here. I have no argument with you specifically but just pointing it out for the future that people will dismiss any biased sources you give them, which is probably not what you want the outcome to be in an argumentative fashion.


You mean Kaiser Permanente? And Harvard Medical School? And The American Institute for Cancer Research? And the British Dietetic Association? And the Mayo Clinic?

What biases are you talking about?


The site you linked is affiliated with vegan causes, is it not? Just because the sources are from those institutions does not mean they aren't cherry picked for that specific cause. I can also quote journals with conclusions justifying omnivorous consumption as well [0] but those would be just as cherry picked.

[0] https://sapienjournal.org/people-who-eat-meat-experience-low...


Mate, the website is just a collection of links to the actual research. I’m being asked for sources, I give tons of very credible sources, and your retort is to just claim that now they are cherry picked?

Sure, we can ALWAYS find a source that supports whatever claim we want to make. But let’s look at the general scientific consensus.

The overwhelming majority of research indicates that veganism is perfectly healthy. That’s what I linked! Your single journalistic summary of summary about non-causal associations between meat eating and depression don’t undo the general scientific consensus.


If we want the best diet that science has we can look at papers like (https://www.onlinejacc.org/content/76/12/1484), or rankings like (https://health.usnews.com/best-diet/best-healthy-eating-diet...), or just go by world health organizations guide at (https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/healthy-die...)

In a nutshell, obesity and sugars are the killer regardless if they are vegetarian calories or animal calories. Second comes minerals that effect blood pressure, and third its peoples need for vitamins. A healthy diet is one that avoid health risks.

Fiber rich food and fish is linked with lower weight gain.

Sugar is linked with tooth decay and obesity, especially that white stuff that get produced by plants.

A diet need to balance vitamins and minerals based on how active the individual is.

No alcohol, no drugs, no tobacco, no coffee, no added sugar or fructose to water. If its an stimulant then there is risk for harm.

A healthy diet should be diversified and balanced.


None of the important things you mentioned are difficult on a vegan diet, so I’m confused as to what your point is.

You mentioned that there are associations between fish and lower weight gain, but that’s sort of irrelevant because I’m not making the claim that you can’t be healthy while eating animals (though many doctors do!)

I agree that all those things are important. So optimize for them and avoid eating animals.


None of the important things are difficult on a diet with animal parts. That is the point you are missing. The rules for a healthy diet only require it to be diversified and balanced so that a person get a healthy amount of calories, proteins, fats, minerals and vitamins. Health studies has not demonstrated any difference if a person get obese through too much bread, too much bacon, or too much sugar. Health studies has shown however that too much sugar has a very high risk for obesity since sugar can easily trigger over eating.

If we were to rank the world worst food product in terms of causing health problems for humans, sugarcane and sugar beet would list at the top. Animal products is in comparison fairly healthy. After sugar the next would likely be corn, as in high-fructose corn syrup. Much of the worlds insulin resistance and obesity is directly caused by those two vegetarian grown products!

If we look to historical diets that killed the largest number of people, outside the context of sugar, it would be diets where people only ate potatoes, rice or corn. Those diets has a risk of missing essential vitamins and during wars there were major epidemics from unvaried diet that focused on those vegetarian options. People who ate meat during those periods was generally more healthy as their diet was more varied and balanced.

If one want to optimize for health, optimize for a diversified and balanced diet that addresses risk associated with weight gain and insulin resistance. Cut out candy, beer, sugar drinks, potato chips, cereals, cheese puffs (corn coated with cheese powder), wine, and so on. All vegan food (except for the coat on the corn), all food that is terrible for health.

No discussion that uses statistics to prove a point should exclude the use of the same statistics. Vegan diet is associated with better health. A vegan diet is also associated with being female, high education, young, never married, normal and underweight BMI, and without any chronic conditions. How much is cause and effect is a bit more complex.


Again, I don’t see how any of this is relevant to the discussion. I’m not making the argument that non-vegan diets are unhealthy. My claim is that vegan diets can be perfectly healthy.

You seem to think that I’m claiming that veganism is optimal for health. I’m not.


Then why would I eat vegan? If I like the food less, and it's not optimal for health, and I am fine with animals suffering for my food, why?


As long as you don’t care about causing suffering for your pleasure, then you have no reason.

Why not just give a shit about the suffering of others though?…


I believe a logical implication of your 'argument' is that you think vegans don't exist. Is that really the case?


I believe vegan diets are detrimental to health, I consider being healthy necessary for human life. I realize vegans like to imply the opposite but not only has the evidence been unconvincing, but I frankly have never met a healthy looking vegan in real life.

Not that any actual evidence or true rational argument has been provided by such parties in this comment chain. Appealing to emotion and agressively stating what you want to be true are simply not conductive to a productive argument.


How would you know if someone you met is a healthy vegan?…


Vegans are pretty vocal so it’s pretty easy to identify them. It’s like the CrossFit of diet regimens in that they self announce quite a bit.

I’m sure there are some quiet vegans, and it’s possible that I just don’t know people well enough to know whether they are vegan. I’ve met dozens of vegans over he years and friends with many. As I’m friends with them, I’m aware of their health issues or lack of health issues.


Ignoring the fact that you still would have clue who you meet is a healthy vegan because why the hell would that come up casually when meeting random people throughout the day, your belief is the opposite of every major nutritional and dietetic association around the world. I linked to the collection of those official stances elsewhere in the thread.

That means that not only do you claim to have a better understanding of nutrition than those organizations and the thousands of nutritionists and scientists they represent, but you are able to determine your correctness by merely talking to the vegans you’ve met.

That means you’re able to also trivially determine if someone’s health issues are caused directly by veganism, rather than merely present in a vegan.

That is a level of delusion and arrogance I genuinely cannot comprehend.


I was referring to friends of mine who are or were vegan.

> As I’m friends with them, I’m aware of their health issues or lack of health issues.

Of course I come in contact with lots of random people who are vegan but I certainly don’t know them well enough to understand their health.

I am also aware of the health of my non-vegan friends as well.


You can’t just disagree with a fact. There are plenty of examples of people who live normal life spans without eating meat.


There are plenty of examples of people who lived normal lifespans without using electricity, without modern medicine, without central heating, without running water...

So what?


Provide them then, real hard evidence that lifespans are unaffected by the average person with a vegan diet.


> Eating meat is unnecessary for a human life

There are a lot of things that are "unnecessary for human life", such as using electricity.

Making electricity harms the environment, causing suffering.

Therefore, you should stop using your computer.

Right?


Someone is asking you to consider not supporting animal abuse, and you’re making the case that using electricity is comparably bad. That’s worth just calling out and appreciating for a moment.


> Someone is asking you to consider not supporting animal abuse, and you’re making the case that using electricity is comparably bad.

The arguments are exactly the same, despite your attempt to spin it.

The original argument was that a) eating meat is not necessary to human life, b) eating meat harms animals, c) therefore, you should stop eating meat.

My recasting of your argument is a) using electricity is not necessary to human life, b) using electricity harms animals, c) therefore, you should stop using electricity.

What is the difference between these arguments? Be specific.

And I don't really care if you "call me out". I don't bully. Sorry.


Nah mate, you’re on your own for that one. I hope you’ll dwell on it though and try to understand how that’s a very meaningless comparison.


In other words, you're conceding the point.

P.S. I'm not your "mate".


> No, I took the actual definition, and you just don't like it.

You didn’t take the actual definition. Look at the GMO wiki, and the first sentence defines the term in such a way to restrict it to organisms created with more modern techniques. When having conversations with people it’s important to have a shared vocabulary with people. Having a different vocabulary creates miscommunications. It can be especially hard to assume best intent of people are using a non-standard definition because it is a technique purposefully done around scientific and academic jargon to achieve political ends.



> In genetic modification, however, recombinant genetic technologies are employed to produce organisms whose genomes have been precisely altered at the molecular level, usually by the inclusion of genes from unrelated species of organisms that code for traits that would not be obtained easily through conventional selective breeding.

Should I conclude that you're a liar, or very bad at reading your hastily summoned sources.


Plastic is an oil (by)product and the oil industry is one of the top three lobbies in the US. We cannot count on public institutions to seriously address this issue.


There’s been a steady decrease in my smartphone use from 2016 till today. In the past I used my phone 6+ hours a day. Yesterday I used it to check email once for 3 minutes, I opened safari three times for an average of less than 60 seconds in each use, and used 2FA 5 times. It was a slightly higher than average smartphone use day.

As a person that is mostly indifferent about my iPhone I don’t understand who would buy a dumb phone. Is it for the price sensitive? Is it for people that don’t know how to use a smartphone? Is it for security sensitive? Is it for people with cellphone addicted?


What’s your point, that someone can attempt to do something anonymously and fail?


My point is that they failed only because they were betrayed by the free software tool they thought they could trust.


Mozilla has never advertised that their software was designed to keep you anonymous.


No, but they advertise that "Firefox automatically protects your privacy while you browse".

https://support.mozilla.org/en-US/kb/enhanced-tracking-prote...


It's possible that they are tracking how many times an installer gets used without violating your privacy. Installers can be shared online or you can install it on someone else's computer. It's not like they are specific to a person.


True but why? There just be a really heavy reason to introduce something like this. I don't see it.


technically they did not lie. “While you browse” is clearly excluding the time whilst installing the browser.


They promote their product by claiming that it protects people's privacy. They do something that can be reasonably interpreted as tracking (which it is, whether it is download/installation tracking as they claim, or user tracking as some people claim).

For the most part, privacy is based upon trust. Trust is earned. You don't earn trust by doing things behind people's backs or claiming that they are technically telling the truth.


Taken straight out of the "terms and conditions apply" fine print playbook :)


They never advertised either they were tracking every download...


They have whole campaigns against Facebook railing against intrusions into privacy.


No the point is that Mozilla is dishonest about their causes and consistently take actions that are hostile to user's privacy.


> Honestly dual-booting with Linux and Windows on your workstation is perfectly feasible nowadays.

I’m confused by the word “nowadays”. I had a friend with a dual-booting setup between Windows and Linux in the 90s.


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