Prophet was pretty bad so yes, but it doesn't seem much better than ARIMA

what about neuralprophet came after prophet? some companies like mixpanel mentioned in their documentation that they are using prophet for forecasting/anomaly detection

I disagree. He created the VR fad by buying oculus and he was the first tech CEO to attend NeurIPS back in 2014.

There have been at least two VR fads before the current one. Maybe this one will last. But it's still tough to convince regular people to don VR goggles which make them look like dorks and mess up their hair.

More than that, the problem was - and is - motion sickness.

Arima still wins

Can't believe nobody thought of this yet

I can't believe it's been 8 years.

Who cares? If it can be generated in 15 minutes then it's commercially useful.

Especially of you think that after you can get feedback and try again..15 minutes later have a new one...try again...etc

gottem

imagine living under a terrorist organization that spent your bomb shelter money on antagonizing its militant neighbor

Are you trying to justify killing babies and wiping entire families, because their leaders attacked? WTF

That's more than barbaric

No, he’s justifying killing the monsters who go out to murder and wipe out families, then put other families deliberately in the line of fire to try and get the opportunity to do it over again

So you just kill the entire neighborhood? Ok And after you killed thousands of kids and families because you're targeting the terrorists, what's the status right now? Did you wipe the terrorists? What is the "good" outcome?

This results of this barbaric strategy don't look good from any angle. Is there a problem with the intelligence? It's been a month I think

You do your best to kill as few people outside the terrorists as possible, accepting that because any military is not all-powerful and the terrorists are incentivized to and do put civilians in the line of fire, you will not get it 100% right and civilians will be killed unintentionally.

It's the least bad of a set of terrible options.

Not even that, he's just presenting the other side of the scenario, in a probably honest attempt to balance the perspective so one-sidedly presented by the flamewar, pre-digested parent comment.

and what is your solution? stand back and wait for it to happen again?

No, punish the criminals only?

a thought exercise for you – two blood thirsty maniacs sit in a house, in which, possibly, several people reside. You have warned the people in this house, yesterday, that maybe the terrorists will come to use their house as a base and suggested a way out. In the hands of the maniacs is also a machine gun and they are shooting at a school full of other kids and successfully kill them one by one. Your only weapon is an RPG – should you blow up the terrorists?

> a thought exercise for you – two blood thirsty maniacs sit in a house....

We can already see the outcome on the ground, the response have led to more casualties than the maniacs ever did, and still failed at eradicating them.

Now the question, what would you do in this situation? When you find you've killed and caused more damage than the criminals. And worse, the criminals are still there.

If I was a police chief in that position, and a decent human being, I'd resign for failing to do my job and hand myself for prosecution for killing all these families for nothing.

you accidentally kill civilians trying to hit a military target

You may even kill civilians on purpose to hit a military target, if on balance the military objective justifies the civilian loss of life.

Tragic but true.

I hate war.

Crypto promised to replace the dollar, mortgages, ID systems, etc... It's had ten years to do so and still has little to show. ChatGPT was released a few months ago and has hundreds of millions of users. I use it every day for work.