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Isn't that a good thing?

Yes, I am a huge fan of the new Grok models!

Relevant to my interests, but this seems an awful lot like submarine marketing. (The article, not the submission here.)

What is submarine marketing? Asking as a non-native English speaker.

It means it's an article paid for by a PR firm and subtly benefits one of their clients (while the topic of the article is true, or at least not an outright lie, and not obviously an ad).

https://paulgraham.com/submarine.html


Yes, and for software, remote work actually... works. Have a few in-person meetups in a year, but most of the day-to-day is git, Slack, and Zoom (or equivalent).

If I can hire someone remotely in San Antonio, why can't I hire someone remotely in São Paulo as a result?

This is why the offshoring boom happened since COVID - remote-first proved that async works well enough, which made offshoring more enticing.

Now that sponsoring 10 H1B visas is guaranteed to cost $1M, I may as well spend that much to open an office abroad, get 7 figure tax credits per employee, and pay a lower salary.


> If I can hire someone remotely in San Antonio, why can't I hire someone remotely in São Paulo as a result?

Because the person in Brazil would be able to steal your IP and you'd have no financial, legal, or emotional recourse since they're across an international border. Big tech is continuing to find this out the hard way when countries like China and India somehow clone their products in record time.

By hiring in the same country you reside in, you have access to your legal system to protect you and your business interests. And it can also protect your own ego as well (if you have one).

And for the USA specifically, it is also really about the people here. Tech is a surprisingly human industry, and Americans have the humanity and grit to pull it off.

> pay a lower salary

Nothing is stopping tech from doing this right now to American workers. Remember that those higher paying firms do false positive hiring - they reject way more people than they pull in. If you do the reverse and adjust your operations to account for more workers that "aren't good but aren't bad either", you'd probably perform even better than offshoring.


Right, nothing's stopped offshoring for a few decades, especially since the Internet became global. That's why I say what can be offshored pretty much has been. I even know some companies who did it years ago and reversed the policy after it didn't work out as well as they expected.

So higher costs on importing workers might prompt a bit more offshoring, but not much, because if those companies thought those jobs could be done offshore, they'd already be there.


> nothing's stopped offshoring for a few decades

Async development at scale (and especially for revenue generating IP) was still not proven until COVID.

Additonally, the reverse brain drain in much of China, CEE, Israel, and India only kicked off in the late 2010s, and the COVID layoffs and subsequent rehiring made it easier to open an office abroad.

> because if those companies thought those jobs could be done offshore, they'd already be there

Every job that would have gone to someone who requires some kind of work sponsorship can now be justified with a hiring abroad.

I'd recommend reading tfa, and as someone who is on a couple boards, trust me when I am saying that offshoring is now going to go in hyperdrive.


I suppose economically, sure. But you know what happens if you employ people in your country? Everyone's quality of life improves and your country is stronger and wealthier. But that doesn't seem to matter to the capital class, they'd rather make a shit hole out of where they live and then escape to their bunkers. :)

If a member of the capital class hired local prompted by your comment they would be out-competed and go out of business due to the lower costs if their off-shoring competition.

If you want to induce a behaviour in thousands you change the law, wagging your finger at them isn't going to work.


That just tells me you have never built a company with local people and treated them right. I have made a ton of money fixing outsourcing problems or translating requirements - mostly India but also South America, Romania and Russia.

There's a reason Wiz is HQed and developed in Tel Aviv and not Tiburon.

The median school teacher in the Bay Area (teachers are the typical go to example of low paid educated labor) makes about 700k over the 6 year time span of an h1b. 100k is literally nothing, and not just in the Bay Area, it’s a painful joke to those who know about the issue.

My mom is a teacher here in the Bay. Schools were never sponsoring work visas because there are credential requirements.

The difference is, that $100k on top of the 30-40% premium on top of base salary means a $150k employee went from costing $210k to $310k almost overnight.

The math for sponsoring someone on any work visa was already growing tenuous against offshoring, but this rule change sealed the deal by giving FP&A a number it can use to justify that it is much cheaper to offshore.


Your mom wasn’t a math teacher I presume. An h1b is 6 years, so divide your 100k by six and account for inflation which is high and will continue to be high under the current (incompetent? sociopathic?) regime.

...no, that level of high prices/wages/cost of living really is just in the Bay Area.

Median teacher salaries in the US are around $63k/yr. If you were to hire one at that rate on an H1B visa for 6 years, the $100k visa cost would be nearly a quarter of the total cost of their hire. (Assuming, of course, that the declaration that it only needs to be paid once per visa remains true, and that Trump doesn't change it on a whim later on, which are absolutely not safe assumptions.)


Also, no school district is sponsoring a work visa. I've never seen that happen in my life.

> Median teacher salaries in the US are around $63k/yr

Also the average salary for Bay Area teachers in the good school districts in my experience. Educators are severely underpaid in California.


Again public or NEAs own summaries. My point was not that the unionized k12 system is abusing h1b (thank God for unions!) it was that teacher salaries are the exemplar of being under paid.

In California, statewide, it’s about 100k as of a few years ago. This is public data so you can check if you have the skill to do so.

Are h1b distributed evenly by state? Think about it for a minute or just go check the data if you have the high skill needed to do so.


Posting a link to the XKCD comic would be a cliche at this point, yes?

When we need to power things on the moon, we'll put them there, too. For now, we need to generate the power near (within a few tens of miles) where it must be used. The reason for this is that as we transmit power, we lose some as heat. The further we transmit, the more we lose.

Why can't we just connect a really long cable from the moon back to earth and wrap it in insulation??

There’s a 50k km difference between the shortest and longest answer to “how far is the moon?”, depending on orbit and phase. The distance can change by about 75m per second.

I don’t know of a reel that can spool up a cable at 270 km/h.

Our current longest power cable is 5376 m long. So we’re only 406k km short of bridging the gap (our longest is only 0.0013% the length required).


if we can split an atom we can make a really long cable surely

Maybe we can offload all bitcoin mining to the moon instead, and just transmit the winning blocks to the earth via radio instead. That way, we can outsource the tremendous emissions caused by bitcoin mining, and use the extra capacity on earth to cut down on fossil fuels.

Half /s


You do realize that all of these are false dichotomies.

Leaders share the right amount of context so their people understand the overarching strategy and goals. They don't overshare.

Leaders help move their people away from rule-breaking in the first place.

Leaders prioritize the health of the team. While this should include giving timely correction and assistance to help people to the right track, and finding ways to lean in to individual strengths, it also absolutely includes removing people with poisonous attitudes, disruptive behavior, or someone dragging the team down with poor performance.

Leaders reward justified, rational dissent. Compliance is an expected norm until someone can demonstrate either an exception or the need for a new norm. Compliance is more often related to things that can sink the entire company, so no, it doesn't just mean "control." Compliance is not the same as conformity.


Felt like I was reading a lost on linkedin, with this talk of "leaders".

Its just a kind of bad management vs a kind of good management.


It's not even that. It's management that sounds good vs. management that sounds bad.

I mean, obviously if you're presenting it in the format that the article does, it comes across as a false dichotomy. I read it as one part exaggeration to make the point that what too many managers do is actively detrimental to team health, and one part emphasizing the direction in which to err to be a good leader.

Obviously (just to pick one of the dichotomies there) blindly rewarding dissent is not really any better than blindly suppressing it. All of these need to be done with nuance and judgement. Because those are absolutely vital skills of any good leader.

The point is that managers (of a certain type) are approaching these particular issues in exactly the wrong way, and need to be shown that.


Well, the kid did turn out to have ties to a radical leftist organization. He spent an awful lot of time on Antifa discord servers and, according to his acquaintances and friends, had frequent arguments with his conservative parents over politics. You think they were arguing about who voted Republican harder?

The president and co making such claims based on little or no evidence doesn't become OK just because some is turned up later.

Early, and correct, claims were made based on the inscriptions found on the bullets and shell casings, IIRC.

People certainly jumped to conslusions about them and extrapolated from there.

Elisp for Emacs, Lua for those on Neovim...

Definitely more control than guessing the right JSON, or breaking that YAML file. Plus, you get completion, introspection, and help while editing the config because you're in a code-writing environment. Bonus for having search and text manipulation tools under your fingertips instead of clicking checkboxes or tabbing through forms.


Reading this does make me think about how exploring settings in emacs `M-x config` settings is actually better than I would expect. So it isn't like you can't also have the checkboxes and forms.

I've been thinking the same. Our GE fridge is just... a refrigerator/freezer. No screen, no internet connection. We went looking for that.

Our Miele dishwasher... no internet connection.

Our GE range / stove wants an internet connection and a phone app to use it's broiler features (I think). They're actually gated behind internet connectivity. We do without it.

Our home thermostat was installed with wi-fi everything... Which we promptly disconnected when the installers left. The same for the irrigation system. We want to use the device to control it, not have to connect to some server on the internet to manage our heat, A/C, or watering schedule.

Don't get me started on looking for "dumb phones" for our child.


Oh how I wish Arch or even Asahi supported the current generation of Mac hardware. Great hardware and memory architecture for inference, saddled with Tahoe.

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