Google needs to pace themselves. AI studio, Antigravity, Banana, Banana Pro, Grape Ultra, Gemini 3, etc. This information overload don't do them any good whatsoever.
Why? They're mostly different markets. Most people using Nano Banana Pro aren't using Antigravity.
A cluster of launches reinforces the idea that Google is growing and leading in a bunch of areas.
In other words, if it's having so many successes it feels like overload, that's an excellent narrative. It's not like it's going to prevent people from using the tools.
> Please don't post insinuations about astroturfing, shilling, brigading, foreign agents, and the like. It degrades discussion and is usually mistaken.
Powell Doctrine, but for AI. No one should dispute that Google is the leader in every(?) category of AI: LLM, image gen, video editing, world models, etc.
This cluster of launches might not be intentional. It could just be a bunch of independent teams all trying to get their launches out before the EOY deadline.
Tbh, the answer is simple: if we truly get AGI, the government would nationalize it because it's a matter of national security and prosperity for that matter. Everything will change forever. Agriculture, Transportation, Health... Breakthrough after breakthrough after breakthrough. The country would hold the actual key to solve almost any problem.
when you write it out like that, it sounds unfathomably… silly.
I'm not a tinfoil hat skeptic, and i'd like to think i can accept the rationale behind the possibility. But I don't think we're remotely close as people seem to think.
As technology changes over history, governments tend to emerge that reflect the part of the population that can maintain a monopoly of violence.
In the Classical Period, it was the citizen soldiers of Rome and Greece, at least in the west. These produced the ancient republics and proto-democracies.
Later replaced by professional standing armies under people like Alexander and the Ceasars. This allowed kings and emperors.
In the Early to Mid Medieaval time, they were replaced by knights, elites who allowed a few men to defeat commoners many times their number. This caused feudalism.
Near the end of the period, pikes and crossbows and improved logistic systems shifted power back to central governments, primarily kings/emperors.
Then, with rifles, this swung the pendulum all the way back to citizen soldiers between the 18th and early 20th century, which brought back democracies and republics.
Now the pendulum is going in the opposite direction. Technology and capital distribution has already effectively moved a lot of power back to an oligarchic elite.
And if full AGI combined with robots more physically capable than humans, it can swing all the way. In principle a single monarch could gain monopoly of violence over an entire country.
Do not take for granted that our current undertanding of what the government is, is going to stay the same.
Some kind of merger between capital and power seems likely, where democratic elections quickly become completely obsolete.
Once the police and military have been mostly automated, I don't think our current system is going to last very long.
> Tbh, the answer is simple: if we truly get AGI, the government would nationalize it
If you truly get AGI, you are highly unlikely to be able to reliably control it let alone nationalise it. And it is highly unlikely that only a single country would reach it. Chances at least one other country would. And AGI would be eventually weaponised against other countries successfully or not.
the changes of AGI causing huge damage in the world would be very real. Unlike a WMD, the damage isn't necessarily visible, immediate or obvious.
I so desperately want to make a snide comment about foreseeing the future but the reality is the CapX is so muddied that I’m afraid everyone is going to feel it.
Exactly, the really frightening thing is Altman taking OpenAI public to get it into the SP500 and it completely falls apart then. In that case, we all get to hold the bag.
> Altman taking OpenAI public to get it into the SP500
There are eligibility requirements to meet before a stock can even be considered for inclusion into the SP500, and it’s hard to see how OpenAI, if they ever get into the situation where they need a public bag holder, could pull off another restructuring and then seasoning before the whole world realizes what’s going on.
Be wary. Pay attention. But don’t lose any sleep over it.
Isn't it the whole point of current AI environment? "We can't, we shouldn't, yet we did and look at our stock".
I won't bet anything at it but the whole thing, the whole AI economy looks like a big YOLO, so taking another step further into this insanity is, well, just another step. Who knows, maybe next day Beff Jezos will IPO newly established company and somehow pull 1T IPO in 10 days of company existence. Wouldn't it be a sight?
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