Firstly, the German study analysed one small particularly hard hit town, so how you are extrapolating this to "people" in general is puzzling.
Secondly, there is a very wide range of reported fatality rates, with myriad factors known and unknown, so why you've chosen the lowest one globally (which, by the by, has always been an outlier and in any case is edging up past 1%) as the "actual" rate is, again, puzzling.
Finally, you are making a giant but unfortunately common logical error in using these already questionable death counts to make the case for an overreaction without attending to the obvious fact that without this "overreaction" every town, village and city on Earth would be Bergamo, where army lorries are conscripted to transport the dead from overwhelmed mortuaries, or worse.
> Finally, you are making a giant but unfortunately common logical error in using these already questionable death counts to make the case for an overreaction without attending to the obvious fact that without this "overreaction" every town, village and city on Earth would be Bergamo, where army lorries are conscripted to transport the dead from overwhelmed mortuaries, or worse.
Italy has the highest average age in Europe, and we know the virus is about 100X worse for people over 65 than it is for a 20 year old. Lombardy is the oldest region in the oldest country in Europe. The average age of the dead in Italy is 80.5 and has 3 underlying medical conditions. That's why it's so high there. I specifically called that out in the [EDIT].
I'd suggest doing some more reading.
The demographics in Gangelt skew older too, but otherwise they appear thoroughly average, and a totally reasonable representative sample. Especially as you yourself call out they were "particularly hard hit."
Secondly, there is a very wide range of reported fatality rates, with myriad factors known and unknown, so why you've chosen the lowest one globally (which, by the by, has always been an outlier and in any case is edging up past 1%) as the "actual" rate is, again, puzzling.
Finally, you are making a giant but unfortunately common logical error in using these already questionable death counts to make the case for an overreaction without attending to the obvious fact that without this "overreaction" every town, village and city on Earth would be Bergamo, where army lorries are conscripted to transport the dead from overwhelmed mortuaries, or worse.
Do better friendo.