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I think it's important to understand the extent to which this is a culture, i.e. self-perpetuating in spite of outside influences.

While your comment explains the origin of this culture... it's generally not as easy to change such a culture as it is to maintain it. Once a group of people believe that the rest of the world does not understand them or is against them, they are somewhat inoculated against efforts by the rest of the world to change them.

New officers spend most of their time with older officers, not department leadership, not the mayor, not journalists, not activists, etc. Older officers teach younger officers how to act, and to some extent, what to believe. And, they act collectively to punish new officers who fail to adhere to this culture.

This is well-enough known to become a storytelling trope: a young idealistic officer finds him- or herself facing not only criminals, but also the cultural inertia of the disillusioned existing police force, as they try to do the right thing.

In many contexts, we accept that organizations have to end, and be replaced, to enact meaningful change. Companies go out business; political administrations lose elections.

This is why the idea of "abolish the police" or "defund the police" might not be as crazy as it sounds on its surface. It's not that we don't need people who are paid to investigate crime and keep people safe... obviously we do. But police forces as they currently exist may have too much cultural inertia to evolve the way they need to.



Here's one real-world example of ending and replacing a police organization:

"As a result of the ‘Rose Revolution’ of 2003, the government began a process of reform by sacking all the existing police and creating a smaller force of new recruits, with the help of the international community. The reformed police force became one of the most well-regarded institutions in the country."

(https://www.centreforpublicimpact.org/case-study/siezing-mom...)


Also note this is not about replacing a police force of a city. It's about replacing the police force of a country of 40 million people.


To be fair, the cold reboot was their way of dealing with the traffic police specifically, not all police.

But still, the scale here is massive - they fired 30,000 people overall, and half of them on a single day. And, just as in US today, the opposition claimed that such a disruptive measure would unleash a wave of criminal or reckless behavior (on the roads), and a lot of people would die as a result. That didn't happen.


NYC is running this "experiment" now, with the NYPD having disbanded it's anti-crime units, and with many reported incidents not being responded to.

New York City’s homicide rate has hit a five-year high as the amount of people shot has jumped 42 percent compared to last year.

Shooting incidents have gone up 86% since last year, and the murder Rate has gone up 47%.

It's obviously a result of many different factors, but I'm not so sure the same thing that worked there would work here.


It sounds to me that:

1. The NYPD isn't trying to replace their police workforce. They've simply stopped policing.

2. The current social ajd political environment would cause a hike in crime-rate regardless of police action, and it's not easy to disentangle the effects.


Disbanding all traffic police also seems to be very different from disbanding all anti-crime units.


Any change from approximately zero is large.

Nyc has had several months without a single murder.

When quoting percentages, it is helpful to establish what the baseline is and how it compares historically.

Previous “slowdowns” by the NYPD have resulted in a drastic reduction in reported crime in NYC. https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-nypd-slowdowns-dirty-littl...


Months without a single murder? Which months?

Some historical data -- 2019 average just under one murder per day, 2020 is over one murder per day and up significantly from 2019 so far:

https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/nypd/downloads/pdf/crime_statist...



More like one every three days in 2019.


319 is not one every three days. It's technically .87 per day if you want to be precise.


Or, a little over 5 every 6 days.


that's certainly another way to put it.


Thanks, I read it wrong!


> Previous “slowdowns” by the NYPD have resulted in a drastic reduction in reported crime in NYC.

I couldn't find where that was mentioned in your linked article, but the Occam's razor takeaway is that the crime is still happening and not being reported because people know nothing will be done.


Hard to not mention violent crime though


My bad, I just glanced and conflated two events. The one I had in mind was replacing the police force of Ukraine in 2015. A country of 44 million people fired all the 150 thousand policemen and hired 120 thousand new ones.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Militsiya_(Ukraine) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Police_of_Ukraine


Small correction, population of Georgia (the country) is ~4 million, not 40 million. I've been there multiple times, it's a country trying very hard to become more European and less Soviet. I wish them well.


My bad, I just glanced and conflated two events. The one I had in mind was replacing the police force of Ukraine in 2015. A country of 44 million people fired all the 150 thousand policemen and hired 120 thousand new ones.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Militsiya_(Ukraine) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Police_of_Ukraine


I don’t think anyone expects that to be done atomically. Most of the advocacy I have seen is directed at individual police departments, with some organization between the efforts and some advocacy for nationwide criminal justice and policing reform.


An order of magnitude mistake. The population is circa 4 million.


My bad, I just glanced and conflated two events. The one I had in mind was replacing the police force of Ukraine in 2015. A country of 44 million people fired all the 150 thousand policemen and hired 120 thousand new ones.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Militsiya_(Ukraine) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Police_of_Ukraine


I think one reason that worked is that there was a clear blueprint for how do organize a better traffic police force.

Without that, I think a new organization will settle in to be the same as the old one, as it's formed by the same incentives.

Is there such a vision for US police departments? I haven't seen it aside from anecdotes about Camden, NJ.


To put in very common language here: there are times when refactoring would be way more costly and difficult than rewriting.


I suspect people here can comprehend the idea without requiring a tortured programming-related metaphore.


I've actually heard the some other devs say they interpret the current calls to action as "refactor the police".

Saying "defund" and "disband" has somewhat derailed the discussion with people asking "does that mean when we call 911 it goes to voicemail?"

"Reform" is already a loaded word, as it's been associated with plenty of do-nothing or make-the-situation-worse initiatives.

Refactor is a great choice, except for limited currency outside the programming sector. It implies wholesale changes, an attempt to improve quality, but also that the existing desired functionality is still being honoured.

Indeed, it does bring up the appropriatre set of folloup questions-- can this be refactored with reasonable cost constraints and chances of success?


This is one of those rare cases where the right thing is to throw out the current system and “re-write” it from scratch.


Yet at the same time couching ideas in familiar language helps contextualize and retain them.


Yep! A codebase has so much “culture” in it-it reflects the values and the experience of those who wrote it


You need to make an accurate comparison though. It's like shutting down your servers, rewriting from scratch, and hoping that your customers will still be there for you when you've reached feature parity.


One theory for why Chauvin stepped on Floyd's throat for 8 minutes with his hands in his pocket is that he was training 2 rookies on site and he was afraid that backing down to pressure from the public (people yelling at him to stop) would make him look weak and lose face in front of the rookies. And the rookies were deferential to Chauvin's seniority.

It's easy to imagine that if it was an overeager rookie on Floyd's neck, the rookie wouldn't have had his hands in his pocket and Chauvin would have told him to ease off a few minutes earlier before Floyd died.

In a sense it's not too different from the mindset when a captain crashes a plane over the better judgement of a junior co-pilot.


> In many contexts, we accept that organizations have to end, and be replaced, to enact meaningful change. Companies go out business; political administrations lose elections.

There’s obviously a significant difference between the regular election cycle (which applies to police chiefs and mayors that run these departments) and abolition. I don’t think the people calling to defund or abolish to police just want to see the administration change, or the officers get fired and re-hired.

I think aside from the Marxists and Anarchists there are very few people who are supportive of abolishing or defunding police. Fomenting resentment and fear of policing, advocating violence against police, and diminishing police’s right to self defense seems to be a deliberate strategy to destabilize communities and increase crime while framing attempts to restore law and order as oppression and racism.

Police forces have gone through some major and rapid shifts due to technology, first in terms of statistical tracking of crime and enforcement and more recently with regard to widespread surveillance and body cams.

Police can ultimately expect to have every response recorded, maybe even automatically analyzed and flagged by AI. Perhaps surprisingly most police are supportive of body cams because more often than not they are used to support an officer’s actions.


> I think aside from the Marxists and Anarchists there are very few people who are supportive of abolishing or defunding police.

The simple slogans and close approximations poll poorly, the actual concrete policy objectives wrapped up in the “defund” section of the movement, as distinct from the more radical “dismantle/abolish” section, poll quite well: https://www.vox.com/2020/6/23/21299118/defunding-the-police-...

But even with the more simplified versions, the support is more than Anarchists and Marxists, unless those are vastly more common than any previous research has suggested (so that they are a majority of Democrats and an even larger majority of Blacks): https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/64-americans-oppose-defund-p...

> and diminishing police’s right to self defense

Is not something the defund/demolish/abolish movement is interested in. That movement is interested in moving the police out of problematic situations in the first place (and in the extreme dismantle/abolish case, getting rid of the police and redistributing law enforcement responsibilities more diffusely and out of centralized paramilitary organizations), not in reducing the right of anyone to self-defense. If anything, it's the more “moderate” reformers who refuse to consider changes to the fundamental structure of law enforcement that are forced, because of that refusal, to try to address the problem by doing things that might fairly be described as restricting the rights of police to self-defense, or at least the available means.


diminishing police’s right to self defense seems to be a deliberate strategy to destabilize communities and increase crime

Indeed, you just need to look at marxist countries to see the hypocrisy: they all have a well-funded, scary, unnacountable police.


And somehow those body cams malfunction at the most opportune time. Also, there are plenty of economical and libertarian reasons to defund the police, but I am guessing you somehow missed them during widespread discussion over the past 4 weeks.

Happy reading.




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