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I can’t predict what my 4-year old will want to eat for dinner tonight or how much, but I can easily predict that he’ll be substantially bigger and heavier a year from now, and predict the change in height and weight within reasonable tolerance.

If some laypeople have not received a basic high school education and have trouble understanding variance, uncertainty, and the difference between short-term fluctuations and long-term trends, that really isn’t the fault of climate scientists.



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