There was ~$1.6T of CDOs, plus some amount of separate MBS’s that weren’t re-securitized into CDOs, and over $30T of CDS’s, and the main Wall St. banks were over-leveraged up to 33:1, and Fannie and Freddie were over-leveraged by around 100:1. Between the banks and Fannie/Freddie, there was about $9T in over-leveraged debt with insufficient equity or collateral, almost half the US GDP at the time.
The conditions back then dwarf the current crypto market. But I am worried the crypto market is doing its best to not learn anything and to repeat those same mistakes anyway.
And I actually got lucky and in late 2006, as I was getting interested in investing for the first time, discovered an online community of forensic accountants piecing together from public filings what was happening with all the house flipping.
Shortly before I found them they had concluded it was a massive unsustainable bubble forming, which would inevitably end in collapse. Their research and evidence convinced me and formed my worldview before I even had a chance to drink the Wall St koolaid. All credit to them though, I just got lucky in discovering them.
The conditions back then dwarf the current crypto market. But I am worried the crypto market is doing its best to not learn anything and to repeat those same mistakes anyway.
And I actually got lucky and in late 2006, as I was getting interested in investing for the first time, discovered an online community of forensic accountants piecing together from public filings what was happening with all the house flipping.
Shortly before I found them they had concluded it was a massive unsustainable bubble forming, which would inevitably end in collapse. Their research and evidence convinced me and formed my worldview before I even had a chance to drink the Wall St koolaid. All credit to them though, I just got lucky in discovering them.