> Zeihan predicted in 2014 that they would invade the rest of Ukraine around the end of 2021, because if they waited much longer they wouldn't have the manpower. This is the first of many trade-disrupting conflicts he expects.
What's scary is China is going through the exact same issue as Russia. Their demographic is aging, after this inflection point they would certainly lose manpower. However unlike technologically advanced countries like Korea & Japan, it cannot modernize, not with US sanctions hitting it like it did Russia.
I'm afraid Russia is on a path of no return. No sanction uplift or normalization is possible at this point. Putin is in a do or die mode, he chose to throw his country in a perpetual war rather than being over thrown.
Question is will Xi do the same? I believe so. The globalization capital is dwindling and that is it's lifeline. Without rest of the world buying its labor output, it's sitting on a massive population that increasingly become uncooperative with a centralized leadership.
Couple that with young single unwed males living in city centers, its rife for a major revolution, much like what happened in Syria.
What's scary is China is going through the exact same issue as Russia. Their demographic is aging, after this inflection point they would certainly lose manpower. However unlike technologically advanced countries like Korea & Japan, it cannot modernize, not with US sanctions hitting it like it did Russia.
I'm afraid Russia is on a path of no return. No sanction uplift or normalization is possible at this point. Putin is in a do or die mode, he chose to throw his country in a perpetual war rather than being over thrown.
Question is will Xi do the same? I believe so. The globalization capital is dwindling and that is it's lifeline. Without rest of the world buying its labor output, it's sitting on a massive population that increasingly become uncooperative with a centralized leadership.
Couple that with young single unwed males living in city centers, its rife for a major revolution, much like what happened in Syria.