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US is already at 20%. Looks like it will be 22% in 2022 and 24% in 2023 including hydro:

> We expect renewable sources will provide 22% of U.S. generation in 2022 and 24% in 2023, up from 20% in 2021.

https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/electricity.php

> Everyone always does the solar calculations ignoring the fact that energy has to be produced semi locally to where it’s used (long distance transmission is expensive and lossy).

This is untrue. They are building a solar farm in Australia to export electricity to Singapore 3,100 miles (5,000 km) away.

https://newatlas.com/energy/sun-cable-australia-singapore-so...

In China they already have multiple operating transmission lines over 2000km.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultra-high-voltage_electricity...



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