> what would be the back up plan for in case of war, solar flare* or other natural disaster?
Does it need to be a natural disaster? Things like a widespread network failure, a major bank's systems going down for a while (happened not so long ago here), or even a country-wide blackout (we had one last week, triggered by a fault in a fault detection system mistakenly powering down a high-voltage transmission line, and for some yet to be determined reason that led to an instability which triggered other fault detection systems) can be a pain if you depend on an online system.
The world had far fewer people before electronics, and they in part allowed for the agriculture to keep up.
Even assuming things like tractors etc. still work see how much yield local farmer will get once he can't get their fertilizers and pesticides shipped.
"harsh" is understatement, we're talking hundreds of millions dying from hunger within a year or two.
End completely, no. But the "civilized" way of exchanging cash for goods will be gone for quite a little bit. Long enough that we can figure out how to make more cash. Not that the existing one will be miraculously gone either.
There will always be a standard good for the basis of trade in proxy for government backed currency. The best choices will be durable (won't rot for a prolonged period of time), fungible (easy to convert back to digital cash), useful, and small to facilitate exchange at various magnitudes. Many choices will not fit cleanly and will all be less palatable. Notably, foreign physical currency, US stamps/bonds/checks, alcohol, or canned food would suffice. Ironically, a digital US currency should bolster alternative digital currencies.
If a solar flare powerful enough to destroy the entire electronic payment system were to occur I'm sure everyone will be fine with you buying your storable food and colloidal silver with cash.
But solar flares that powerful are an actual serious threat, and have been recorded throughout history. It's just we have been so lucky to develop a heavy dependence on electricity in a quiet period.
>In June 2013, a joint venture from researchers at Lloyd's of London and Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) in the US used data from the Carrington Event to estimate the cost of a similar event in the present to the US alone at US$600 billion to $2.6 trillion (equivalent to $698 billion to $3.02 trillion in 2021[28]),[3] which, at the time, equated to roughly 3.6 to 15.5 per cent of annual GDP.
NOAA currently puts Carrington Events at a 1 in 500 year occurrence on Earth.
*electromagnetic pulse destroy electronic devices (no ATMs, card readers)