Keep in mind that looking at the capacity factor for nuclear vs solar/wind can be misleading as well if you don't take into account even more factors.
Renewables are composed of a wide mix of thousands of power plants. And these days the construction of renewables goes along with construction of energy storage and grid upgrades (even taking into account those costs, renewables are now competitive). So any failures/downtimes is smoothed out over both time and space.
That ~10% of the time that nuclear is down, you get 100s of MWs going down in a single region. France recently had several nuclear power plants go down at the same time, making them dependent on imports for a long stretch of time.
In terms of energy I think it's worth looking at the total net energy added.
The largest rate that nuclear ever grew was around ~200TWh for some years in the 80s.
Solar grew by ~300TWh from 2021 to 2022. Wind grew by ~200TWh. And the growth rate is still increasing exponentially.
For reference the world population grew from ~5 to ~8billion from the 80s until now, if you want to take that into account when comparing the growth rates.
I don't think there can be any doubt anymore that renewables will completely dominate the energy production in the future.
Renewables are composed of a wide mix of thousands of power plants. And these days the construction of renewables goes along with construction of energy storage and grid upgrades (even taking into account those costs, renewables are now competitive). So any failures/downtimes is smoothed out over both time and space.
That ~10% of the time that nuclear is down, you get 100s of MWs going down in a single region. France recently had several nuclear power plants go down at the same time, making them dependent on imports for a long stretch of time.
In terms of energy I think it's worth looking at the total net energy added.
The largest rate that nuclear ever grew was around ~200TWh for some years in the 80s.
Solar grew by ~300TWh from 2021 to 2022. Wind grew by ~200TWh. And the growth rate is still increasing exponentially.
For reference the world population grew from ~5 to ~8billion from the 80s until now, if you want to take that into account when comparing the growth rates.
I don't think there can be any doubt anymore that renewables will completely dominate the energy production in the future.