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May 20, 2022


It could have been posted May 20, 2024 and I don't think it would have any real meaning. Musk has zero credibility with this sort of thing regardless of when it was posted.


Got anything to substantiate this?


This website does a pretty good job: https://motherfrunker.ca/fsd/



First glance at that website https://motherfrunker.ca/fsd/ and I find this:

"September 2014 They will be a factor of 10 safer than a person [at the wheel] in a six-year time frame"

Which you can mostly write off with this data https://electrek.co/2024/05/22/tesla-finally-releases-autopi...

So maybe FSD isn't complete, but Tesla Autopilot has made a measurable improvement to fatalities and injuries on roads. The data shows this clearly.


Except for the part where their “safety reports” are aggressively and intentionally falsified to push product.

They intentionally deceive by comparing extremely non-comparable numbers while avoiding making any necessary and basic adjustments that harm their story. Of their many lies, they use pyrotechnic (airbag) deployments for their own numbers, but compare against all crashes. The NHTSA investigation [1] into Tesla ADAS crashes points out how publicly available data, that Tesla has easy access to and that any competent statistician can interpret, indicates pyrotechnic deployment occurs in only ~18% of crashes. Just that single factor alone shows Tesla has failed to disclose a literal 5x adjustment, let alone the other adjustments that have no doubt been concealed or ignored to avoid learning inconvenient and unmarketable truths.

Their intentional concealment of 5x errors shows their data analysis is entirely faulty and untrustworthy and has been for years.

[1] https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/inv/2022/INCR-EA22002-14496.pdf




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