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> AES-GCM-SIV has increasing likelihood of nonce reuse after 2^32 messages.

While I agree on your cautions, this is still an exceptionally large number. Also AFAIK the actual bound depends on the message size, e.g. you can "safely" encrypt 2^64 messages of ~128 KiB each with the identical key but random nonce. So as long as one keep using as random nonce as possible but allowing for a few exceptional reuses, casual developers indeed have a very low chance to actually reach that threshold.



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