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> The point is if you get _one round_ to play - essentially all or nothing - should you play? No.

On the contrary, in general yes you should, because life as a whole will give you a variety of these sorts of risks. Steve Balmer's offer is just one episode in a lifelong series of risks offered you by the universe at large.



It all depends too if the absorbing barrier is a true absorbing barrier like death.

Bankruptcy would suck but it is not like you have no possibility of another chance like death.

I suspect there is much muddled thinking in this area viewing the death of a LLC as equal to the death of a human.

A coin flip for 20 million dollars if tails, physical death if heads is much different than bankruptcy if heads.

One is a stupid gambler with their life and the other is basically a serial entrepreneur taking asymmetrical bets until the coin comes up tails.




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