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The big question is if OpenAI will achieve "general" AI before their investors get fed up. I wonder if they used the success of ChatGPT to imply that they have a path to it. I don't see how else they achieved such a high valuation.


Spoiler alert: They will not.

Anyone claiming they're anywhere near something even remotely resembling AGI is simply lying.

What happened to "we're a couple years away from AGI"? Where's the Scaaaaaaryyyyyyy self aware techno god GPT-5? It's all BS to BS investors with. All of the rumored new models that were supposed to be out by now are nowhere to be seen because internally the improvement rate has cratered.


You have no idea. There certainly could be a breakthrough tomorrow that sets off AGI. Researchers across the board have been sounding the alarm bells for years now. There’s not much we can do at this point.

My only hope is that when AGI happens I can fire off an ‘I told you so’ comment before it kills us all.


If anything LLMs have delayed AGI by a decade by rerouting massive amounts of funding and attention away from promising areas and into stochastic parrots




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