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NATO: APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE

Modeling the Impact of Combat and Influence Actions on Population Attitudes toward Forces

During the last decades, stabilization, COIN and CT operations around the world have brought to light an increased need for influence capabilities on local populations and key individuals. Today, western Forces often face non-state actors and other kind of irregular opponents, which have strong interactions with the “human environment'' and find there some support based on ethnic, political or religious affinities. Influence actions aim at altering the perception, attitudes and behaviors within the population and at hindering proinsurgent dynamics. In order to counter them and stabilize the crisis zone, one must win the so-called ‘‘heart and minds’’ of the local population. The understanding of the human terrain and its dynamics is the key for answering those new operational needs and obviously calls for a modeling and simulation effort. Our goal is to develop a simulation of the dynamics of the population in terms of attitude and behavior change and to use in training and decision aid applications.

Source: https://perso.limsi.fr/sabouret/ps/MP-SAS-105-BROUSMICHE.pdf



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