> The socioeconomic value of linearly increasing intelligence is super-exponential in nature.
I'm still stuck thinking about this point. I don't know that it's obviously true. Maybe a more bounded claim would make more sense, something like: increasing intelligence in the short-term has big compounding effects. But there's also a cap as society and infrastructure has to adapt. And I don't know how this plays out within an adversarial system where people might be competing for scarce resources like human attention.
Taken to the extreme, one could imagine a fantasy/scifi scenario where each person is empowered like a god in their own universe, allowing them to experiment, learn and and create endlessly.
30 years ago, no one in my native place has seen telephone. Now every single person young and old are connected to the internet, conduct banking and other transaction via phone and many many other things.
Many unimaginable things happened in last 30 year from vantage point of my native place. Assuming same level of of transformation for next 30 year it will be still massive progress. Given current tech and AI, the rate of progress for next 30 years will be far greater than last 30. So I am believer in AI and tech in general will make massive progress in next decade
I'm still stuck thinking about this point. I don't know that it's obviously true. Maybe a more bounded claim would make more sense, something like: increasing intelligence in the short-term has big compounding effects. But there's also a cap as society and infrastructure has to adapt. And I don't know how this plays out within an adversarial system where people might be competing for scarce resources like human attention.
Taken to the extreme, one could imagine a fantasy/scifi scenario where each person is empowered like a god in their own universe, allowing them to experiment, learn and and create endlessly.