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You probably also need at least: - Y does not appear when X does not - We need an overwhelming sample size containing examples of both X and not X - The experiment and data collection and trivially repeatable (so that we don't need to rely on trust) - The experiment, data collection and analysis must be easy to understand and sensible in every way without leaving room for error

And as another commenter already pointed out: You can't really eradicate the existence of an unknown Z




Lightning doesn't cause fire because I have observed fire created by matches under a blue sky.

(I've also observed lightning that was not followed by fire. We really need to stop wasting money on lightning rods.)




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