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Are you under the impression that at some point Russia will simply say “well it was worth a try”, and retreat home?


Not impossible since something similar has already happened in Vietnam (at least once) and in Afghanistan (at least twice)


No. Not at all. There will come a point when Russia will stop the war because either Russia is completely exhausted and on the verge of collapse, or Putin is dead or removed from power. And chances are those two will go together.


If Putin is removed from power, it won't be with somebody more friendly to the west.


Depends on who does the removing. It could go a lot of different ways, but even if it's someone from his own government who is hostile to the west, they're still likely to use it as an excuse to end the war.


And you don't think Russia will escalate to tactical nukes in Ukraine before that point?


No


Why not?




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