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You'd win that bet. Most journal reviewers don't do more than check that data exists as part of the peer review process—the equivalent of typing `ls` and looking at the directory metadata. They pretty much never run their own analyses to double check the paper. When I say "pretty much never", I mean that when I interviewed reviewers and asked them if they had ever done it, none of them said yes, and when I interviewed journal editors—from significant journals—only one of them said their policy was to even ask reviewers to do it, and that it was still optional. He said he couldn't remember if anyone had ever claimed to do it during his tenure. So yeah, if you get good odds on it, take that bet!



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