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I'm not an LLM proselytiser but this makes no sense? It would almost make sense if someone were claiming there are only two possible games, the old one and the new one, and never any more. Who claims that?


I suppose my point is along these lines.

When gpt3 was trained, its parent company refused to release the weights claiming it was a “clear and present danger to civilization”. Now GPT3 is considered a discardable toy.

So either these things are going toward an inflection point of usefulness or this release too will be, in time, mocked as a discardable toy too.

So why every 3 days do we get massive threads with people fawning over the new fashion like this singular technology that is developing is ackshually finally become the fire stolen from the gods.


Well essentially then, I agree, I find it perplexing too.

I got particularly burned by that press release a little before Christmas, where it was claimed that 4o was doing difficult maths and programming stuff. A friend told me about it very excitedly, I imagined they were talking about something that had really happened.

A few days later when I'd time to look into it, it turned out that essentially we'd internal testing and press releases to go off, I couldn't believe it. I said - so, marketing. A few months later it was revealed that a lot of the claimed results in those world-changing benchmarks were due to answers that had been leaked, etc etc. The usual hype theatre, in the end


That is fairly easily explained: Imagine there existed a trick that (you think) ups your productivity by 10% every other week without you having to do, well, anything. It does not matter where the floor was, and there seems to be no ceiling. The trick was really good the first time and it continues to be good every time.


> When gpt3 was trained, its parent company refused to release the weights claiming it was a “clear and present danger to civilization”. Now GPT3 is considered a discardable toy.

That was just the cover story for being greedy with the data.


People are definitely being hyperbolic.

If we were actually getting revolutionary, game changing, improvements to productivity every couple of months. The whole industry would be in such chaos that people would be pausing investments until the chaos stopped.


Parent is implying that we're still playing the same game.


Is "game-changing" supposed to imply changing the game to a completely different one? Like, is the metaphor that we were playing soccer, and then we switched to paintball or basketball or something? I always understood it to mean a big change within the same game - like we’re still playing soccer, but because of a goal or a shift, the team that was on defense now has to go on offense...




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