The chilling effect that this is going to have will have blowback consequences for the Social Media industry and the surveillance community that work lockstep to get people to share personal details and opinions in public online environments.
It'll take a while but people will start hiding their political beliefs and actions as a reaction to this and then the culture of oversharing may change.
This will ultimately be detrimental to national security as the US won't be able to so readily determine who is radical and who may potentially become radicalized.
If we're going to have laws like these, then people who publish their content should have all the rights and responsibilities big players do. Everyone's content should be protected by laws, DRM and encryption.
Organizations profiting from theft and exploitation should be prosecuted as the pirates and criminals they are. If they want to profit from content, let them license it and pay with real money instead of likes and upvotes.
People need to stop impoverishing themselves and their communities by giving away all their personal details. They need to stop giving away what is precious to them to the likes of google, meta and X. If that means a decline of media subsidized by advertising and AI, so be it.
So I hope your prediction is correct. I would love to see stupid laws like these lead us to a world of small community networks protected by encryption and rights laws.
It'll take a while but people will start hiding their political beliefs and actions as a reaction to this and then the culture of oversharing may change.
This will ultimately be detrimental to national security as the US won't be able to so readily determine who is radical and who may potentially become radicalized.