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It seems to me we're at the flat side of the curve again. I haven't seen much real progress in the last year.

It's ignorant to think machines will not catch up to our intelligence at some point, but for now, it's clearly not.

I think there needs to be some kind of revolutionary breakthrough again to reach the next stage.

If I were to guess, it needs to be in the learning/back propagation stage. LLM's are very rigid, and once they go wrong, you can't really get them out of it. A junior develop for example could gain a new insight. LLM's, not so much.




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