On the former a recent post here “LLMs are cheap” I think, laid out a pretty compelling argument that API inference costs are in the right ballpark.
Regarding increasing maintenance, i’m finding that Claude code is just as good for working on CI/CD and unit testing as it is for new implementation. In fact, maintenance is more well defined and possibly being accelerated more than new features.
The point about pipeline of senior developers is a good one. I suppose depends on how elastic the demand side is. Will the demand for software go up asymptomatically as the cost drops? I think it will.
Regarding increasing maintenance, i’m finding that Claude code is just as good for working on CI/CD and unit testing as it is for new implementation. In fact, maintenance is more well defined and possibly being accelerated more than new features.
The point about pipeline of senior developers is a good one. I suppose depends on how elastic the demand side is. Will the demand for software go up asymptomatically as the cost drops? I think it will.