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Kinda hilarious that this got invented by the same people who later Pascal's-Mugged half the world with AI doomerism.


If someone thinks there's only 1% change of AI doom they're definitely not a doomer, much less 1 in 1,000.


1% chance of humanity going extinct is exactly the pascals mugging doomerism. If someone thinks there’s like >10% chance they’re probably actively working on like AI safety or something else to stop it.


I argue that it's not that hilarious because the thinking is very tightly related. The very contemplations that lead to AI doomerism lead to pascals mugging.

One of my main gripes with AI doomerism is that it is downstream of being pascal's mugged into being a doomer




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