So is this just about a bit of investor money lost? Because the internet obviously didn't decline at all after 2000, and even the investors who lost a lot but stayed in the game likely recouped their money relatively quickly. As I see it, the lesson from the dot-com bust is that we should stay in the game.
I wouldn't say "well above" when the curve falls well within the error bars. I wonder how different the plot would look if they reported the median as their point estimate rather than mean.
So is this just about a bit of investor money lost? Because the internet obviously didn't decline at all after 2000, and even the investors who lost a lot but stayed in the game likely recouped their money relatively quickly. As I see it, the lesson from the dot-com bust is that we should stay in the game.
And as for GPT-5 being on the exponential growth curve - according to METR, it's well above it: https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...