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5 Years On, China's Property Crisis Has No End in Sight (nytimes.com)
14 points by theconomist 25 days ago | hide | past | favorite | 5 comments


> It’s hard to overstate the real estate industry’s importance. At its peak, the sector accounted for roughly 30 percent of China’s economy.

That seems like an incredibly high amount.


China’s Property Market: Explaining the Boom and Bust - https://thediplomat.com/2024/09/chinas-property-market-expla... - September 30th, 2024

Even China's 1.4 billion population can't fill all its vacant homes, former official says https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37633501 - September 2023


It's western MSM being intransigently retarded/alarmist. PRC RE was 15% of economy. Construction + downstream industries other 15%. The 15%+15% got added together for the 30% at some point for some reporting and became the number that gets regurgitated over time. In reality, RE got slapped by 3 Redlines (i.e. it was deliberate policy choice), it goes from 15%->12%. The other 15% of which a large but still subsect previously captured by RE got redirected elsewhere, i.e. massive renewable rollout. Net effect PRC now growing at 5% instead of 8% with speculative RE. Like 3% ain't nothing, it's "important". But it's "important" same way healthcare+downstream is 20% of US GDP and if a few % got shaved, it would be pretty bad for that sector but it's not end times for everything else, which is how these articles on PRC RE usually comes off.



China has more deaths than births, property crisis will end by definition.




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