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One of the more straightforward things you can buy is a "value" index fund, which will tend to be more durable / low beta / lower P/E / a bit more recession-proof. The tradeoff is lower vol and lower* returns -- you'll partly miss out on the rest of this big run-up.

Value funds are widely available (often paired with the opposite "growth" funds), and you can put some money there if it helps you sleep. The concept might already be oversubscribed, idk, but at least it's simple and you're still owning equities at 1x, no weird derivatives. It's not a big fancy ripoff like some sort of "structured product" that you'll get if you ask your question here of a self-interested financial advisor.

If you think you've got too much Mag 7, you could also go for small and midcap funds. Often means higher beta & vol, but less concentrated. But who knows, aggregation theory might still not yet be fully played out, and the giants could keep eating more and more of the pie.

Bond funds have a place, too.

* Or maybe not, see reducesuffering's comment below.



Lower returns isn't accurate. Small Cap Value as an asset class has actually outperformed the returns of the total market over the long term: https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-asset-class-all...

I know there's consensus that smaller caps are actually higher beta and thus higher risk. However, I don't believe there's any consensus on value being lower beta, less risky, or less returns. After all, large cap and mid cap value also outperformed total market: https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-asset-class-all...


Interesting. Added a * to my comment.

I think it's still accurate to say that you'll lag the total market during the run-up, right? So anyone buying value should be prepared for that feeling of FOMO, in exchange for long-term peace of mind.

Then again, the beta on your small cap portfolio is 1.04 (higher than your mid/large cap portfolio .93). This matches my intuition: going for value means lower beta, but going small means higher beta. So for small cap value, these effects sort of cancel out and you end up slightly above 1.

Altogether, small cap value is an interesting choice. Not bad.


No that wouldn't be accurate either, as a total market bull run like '91 - '96 or definitely '01 - '07 still had value outperforming. There's enough uncorrelated returns that it's too tough to say how it will behave during each decade.


Huh, I guess that's so.

Well, can we at least agree on the part about most structured products being a rip-off?


Yes, I agree 99% of financial funds are rip offs with 1% fees and dubious payout. Personally, only 0.10% or less total market index funds make sense to me, but Small Cap Value as a low cost index strategy could be an ok addition.




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