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Whenever a new frontier model is released, 99% off the demand shifts immediately to that model. The price of the most demanded model has remained roughly constant even as prices for legacy models decay.

https://ethanding.substack.com/p/ai-subscriptions-get-short-...





An ice cream shop just opened a few blocks from my house.

For weeks, they've had a line of dozens even at 9pm when I drive by.

I don't think that "everyone likes trying new things when they first become available" is unique to AI. Even ice cream stores have this effect, so I'm not sure if you just discount everything new or aren't familiar with this general phenomenon.


In terms of what model I use it’s going to be latest and greatest out of whatever my org gives me enterprise access to.

I’d probably try the factory ‘droid’ first, but if it fails to solve a problem and swapping to another one means it solves it, I’ll probably never use the factory one again.

I’d consider this pretty normal as we’re moving closer to ‘this is actually a mature stack that devs use for work’. Very few people in my company actually take interest in their development tooling and use whatever came pre-configured. (our stack is not sexy)

(Let me know if I’m incorrectly conflating the ‘droid’ concept with foundation models)


Right, and new ice cream shops keep opening up all the time, and people are switching to the new one almost as soon as it becomes available.

Weird how the old ice cream shops still exist, even when the market magically produces hustle-and-bustle for the newest shops temporarily when they open

Almost like demand and markets can change/grow in response to what is offered

Human nature is to buzz around anything new more than stuff we already know, and of course that dynamic will surround new and exciting things

Like cutting edge AI




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