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Like I said before, this phenomenon is broadly applicable across almost everything. I’m hedging with “almost” because I haven’t personally seen data for every category of product, but I believe that it applies universally.

In a sibling comment I replied to someone with an objection that it doesn’t apply to cars… with a personal anecdote that it does, at least sometimes, apply to even cars.

Even governments do it: Having previous purchased a nuclear submarine is highly predictive of future nuclear submarine purchases. Likewise, you probably have not purchased a nuclear submarine, which makes me think you probably won’t buy one this year. ;-)





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