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I don't know much about Tesla's history, but with SpaceX, that definitely plays a role. While their success can be attributed to their engineering practices, their existence can be attributed to managing to get Falcon 1 to orbit on the last launch that the company could afford at the time, while many other companies, both before and after, have failed due to missing that "keyhole".


What wierds me out personally is how much of human progress depends on statistically unlikely outliers...

Maybe that is because I'm biased towards individual stories: statistical distributions and selection effects are hard to notice.




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