if all cars where replaced with EVs power usage would go up ~20-50% (based on full usage, i.e. all cars including trackers, trucks but also stuff like gasoline power generators). Number is such a large range due to unclearity for total average full usage efficiency across all cars, unclearity how much fast and slow charging would be used etc.
but cars normally get replaces with EVs only if you need a new car anyway, so ignoring that different classes of cars are used for different number of years etc. we are speaking about something like (very roughly) 5% or so off the total increase coming per year if no one including truckers would buy non-EVs. So we have a upper ceiling of around 2.5% increase per year, but more realistically we are speaking about less then 1% increase per year (but also that much for the next 20-50 years).
And sure there are other things, like electric heating, full electric cooking etc. which I am fully ignoring.
But for AI needs alone we have a projected increases of 25% in the next 5 years or so, depending on who you ask. And even around 80% until 2050... which is a completely different scale then like 5% in the next 5 years and up to 50% in the next 50 years ...
but cars normally get replaces with EVs only if you need a new car anyway, so ignoring that different classes of cars are used for different number of years etc. we are speaking about something like (very roughly) 5% or so off the total increase coming per year if no one including truckers would buy non-EVs. So we have a upper ceiling of around 2.5% increase per year, but more realistically we are speaking about less then 1% increase per year (but also that much for the next 20-50 years).
And sure there are other things, like electric heating, full electric cooking etc. which I am fully ignoring.
But for AI needs alone we have a projected increases of 25% in the next 5 years or so, depending on who you ask. And even around 80% until 2050... which is a completely different scale then like 5% in the next 5 years and up to 50% in the next 50 years ...