Is it me or has there been a very noticeable uptick in large scale infra-level outages lately? AWS, Cloudflare, etc have all been way under whatever SLA they publish.
Imagine vibe coding something in production, it breaks half the internet, then you can't vibe code it back because it broke the LLM providers. A real catch-22 for the modern age!
That does seem to be a coincidence, as the recent outages making headlines (including this one according to early reports) have been associated with huge traffic spikes. It seems DDoS are reaching a new level.
For me the only silver lining to all these cloud outages is now we know that their published SLA times mean absolutely nothing. The number of 9's used to at least give an indication of intent of reliability, now they are twisted to whatever metric the company wants to represent and dont actually represent guaranteed uptime anywhere.
Doesn’t everyone do that? I’ve never worked for a place that the base policy wasn’t credits. You might have special contract language stating otherwise, but for almost everyone, it’s credits.
Some of the other commenters here have posited a "vibe code theory". As the amount of vibe code in production increases, so does the number of bugs and, therefore, the number of outages.
None of the recent major outages were traced down to "vibe coding" or anything of the sort. They appear to be the kind of misconfigurations and networking fuckups that existed since Internet became more complex than 3 routers.
The "vibe thinking" trend where people stop using their brain and rely on whatever random output the LLM tells them is harder to diagnose, but it's certainly there and at least as bad as vibe coding.
What about the “vibe thinking” trend where people project their own narratives on to every situation, even if the information available shows that it’s a rise in large scale DDoS attacks?
> Some of the other commenters here have posited a "vibe code theory". As the amount of vibe code in production increases, so does the number of bugs and, therefore, the number of outages.
Likely this coupled with the mass brain damage caused by never-ending COVID re-infections.
Since vaccines don't prevent transmission, and each re-infection increases the chances of long COVID complications, the only real protection right now is wearing a proper respirator everywhere you go, and basically nobody is doing that anymore.
Most people are not self reflective reflective enough to notice. Need to trust the studies.
Far more plausible than the AI ideas.
I find it far more likely these are smart people running without oversight for years pre-COVID, relying on being smart at 2am change windows. Now half or a full std. dev. lower on the IQ scale, hubris means fewer guard rails before change, and far lower ability to recover during change window.
I somehow doubt that if a majority of the population was a full standard deviation lower on the IQ scale that nobody would be talking about it, that there wouldn't be more research, and that it wouldn't be covered by the news whatsoever.
Keep in mind many parties benefit from capitalizing on hysterical hype. And you're going to sit here and tell me they're all keeping it covered up for some reason?
This comes off like the extreme left-wing equivalent of extreme right-wingers that say the "world is run by the evil jewish cabal" and when people ask for proof, they retort "everyone is hiding it so none exists".
For a select few, maybe, but it's obviously not enough of the population to make a significant difference in downtime outages in large tech corporations.
It's far more likely due to either AI, or more directly, layoffs and offshoring, as that affects hundreds of thousands of their employees.
I have become dumber without having contracted covid or other respiratory diseases (which could have been covid). 2020s have been the era of fascism, war and communities getting torn, which does not really help with stress levels and intellectual performance.
The theory I’ve heard is holiday deploy freezes coupled with Q4 goals creates pressure to get things in quickly and early. It’s all been in the last month or so which does line up.
This only amplifies the often-repeated propaganda about the "very powerful" enemies of democracy, who in fact are very fragile dictatorships. There's enough incompetence at tech companies to f up their own stuff.
Somewhere, at a floating desk behind a wall of lava lamps, in a nyancatified ghostty terminal with 32 different shader plugins installed:
You're absolutely right! I shouldn't have force pushed that change to master. Let me try and roll it back. * Confrobulating* Oh no! Cloudflare appears to be down and I cannot revert the change. Why don't you go make a cup of coffee until that comes back. This code is production ready, it's probably just a blip.
If it's any guidance, US cyber risk insurance (which covers among other things disruptions due to supplier outages) has continuously dropped in price since Q1 2023, with a handful of percent per year.
