Actually, later in their paper they say: "Although we have argued for a causal role for smoking in generating these patterns, the growing mortality gaps still seem too large and the causes of death too varied to blame the patterns on the adverse health effects of tobacco use alone. As noted above, smoking is likely
to play a role in amplifying the impact of other factors adversely affecting midlife mortality, such as the marketing efforts by opioid manufacturers targeted to areas with high rates of smoking-related illness, coupled with epigenetic changes making smokers more susceptible to opioid use disorders. Still, the strength of our findings that smoking is predictive of spatial trends in midlife mortality points towards different mechanisms needed to explain
the troubling trends that have unfolded since 1990."
> manufacturers targeted to areas with high rates of smoking-related illness
Oof
> epigenetic changes making smokers more susceptible to opioid use disorders
This one seems… a bit mystic to me. I would have been much quicker to suggest that a psychological propensity to start smoking mirrors a propensity to start using other drugs vs. arguing for emergent effects of cellular behavior.