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This framing is incorrect. The official position of the PRC since its inception has been that Taiwan and the mainland are the same country. Reunification was always the plan of the CCP. Reuinification remains popular in the mainland. While few Taiwanese desire full reuinfication, a similarly small percent want to formally declare independence, indicating that both sides still see themselves as part of an abstract Chinese cultural nation.

https://www.newsweek.com/taiwan-china-politics-identity-inde...



> While few Taiwanese desire full reuinfication, a similarly small percent want to formally declare independence

That relatively small number is only due to China's promise of automatic and immediate invasion if they were to declare independence. Remove the threat to their life and their families, the vast majority of them would want to be Taiwan rather than be governed by a dictatorship.


You're right in the large. Realistically, though my question still applies because of a one considerations.

Timeframe. Realistically china has only about 10-15 years to do this before demographics and horrifying rates of infertility stemming from their massive pollution and urbanization catch up to them. The idea of reunification could just be an abstract concept in perpetuity (and will be if PRC makes no moves). What takes it to being real is a question of when and that has everything to do with what's in it for the current leader in the here and now.

As an aside. If PRC were really big brained and had this as the #1 agenda they would realize that the taiwanese drive for independence is really contingent. If PRC were chill and democratic free, and not scary, Taiwan would come running back. Probably also china would actually contend to be #1 country in the world. The CPC only shoots itself in the foot.


> a similarly small percent want to formally declare independence

Given that doing so would put them on a path to an invasion by the mainland, this would seem expedient.

> indicating that both sides still see themselves as part of an abstract Chinese cultural nation.

So no, it indicates nothing of the sort.




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